Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Latest on Gustav: Uh Oh Some More

This is from the SciGuy, my favorite Hurricane guy. I can't watch local news because they will all make it about how BAD IT CAN BE FOR YOU! Our highway signs tonight said "Fill your gastanks, it's Hurricane Season". Anyway, the reason why this is the one to watch is what I have mentioned, it is very similar to the three 2005 Hurricanes mentioned below. I am not worried for here at all, Hurricanes always shift right or east eventually. I hope New Orleans doesn't get the brunt of this one......"Here's a map showing the tracks of Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma during the remarkable 2005 hurricane season, all of which were category 5 storms prior to making landfall on the U.S. Gulf Coast:

hurricanes_CSC-S-IMS-SS-P4692535228457082708.gif
NOAA

The common denominator is easy to spot -- the storms all quickly went from minor to major hurricanes (bright red to dark red, above) while traversing the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Why did this happen? Is it because the seas there were particularly warm in the year 2005? Here's a map of sea temperatures from August 24, 2005, just before Katrina passed through:

2005236gosst082405.jpg

Anyway, if you want to become a hurricane know-it-all I recommend you follow SciGuy. He goes on to talk about the eddies as well. This can hit middle Texas to East of Florida Panhandle, really. we don't know. It could intensify to 5 or stay at 3. Or break up to be honest. Why do you think all the professional trackings offer pretty much everything?

This will be interesting to watch. I just read our local station has projected it east of Galveston Labor Day weekend. Way to project the panic!
NOAA/AOML

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